Psychology Today blogs

Diet Blogs  

Welcome to The Chaotic Life

Hello. My name is Dr. David Pincus. I've never written or responded to a blog before, so let me introduce myself briefly and lay out what I aim to do here. I am an assistant professor at Chapman University in Orange California. I am a clinical psychologist, a generalist, who works with children, families and individual adults. While I have experience working with almost all problem areas and types of people, I suppose my specialty areas would focus on working with teen-agers, working to resolve family conflicts, child weight-loss, and pain management. However, I am not really here to write about clinical topics or self-help per se. Rather, I was approached to write a user-friendly blog about my research, which focuses on nonlinear dynamical systems theory. An editor from Psychology Today heard me speak at a recent (APS) conference in Chicago and invited me to write the blog. Seems my presentation must have been understandable, which can be rare at research conferences, and even rarer when one is into nonlinear dynamics. So, anyway, here we go...

Many of you will have heard of the concepts of: "Chaos Theory" "The Butterfly Effect" or maybe even "Emergence" "Fractals" "Complexity" or "Catastrophe" theories. Each of these is an example of a nonlinear dynamic. Usually when I discuss nonlinear dynamics, even with other researchers, the typical response is a glazed-over expression, followed by a subtle, yet desperate scramble to change the topic of conversation. Indeed, I may not be able to compete with blogs about your cheating spouse, or the best ways to lose a few pounds.

My challenge in this blog will be to make nonlinear dynamics understandable and interesting to you. My experience thus far has been that everything in psychology is a part of a nonlinear system. So we will be able to talk about nearly any topic here. That will help to keep things interesting.

On a broader level, I am going to try to take each of you on an enjoyable trip - from the farthest reaches of your abstract thinking and into a deeper understanding of what is "true" in psychology. At the same time, I am going to try to develop smaller and more concrete "tips" that will help us all to navigate the turbulent waters of our moment-to-moment lives. I am looking forward to this because I rarely get an informal "place" to develop ideas or to reflect on the nonlinear research that I read from others. That said, some of the things I will be writing about will be incomplete, a bit "off," or on rare occasions just wrong. I'll ask for indulgence and forgiveness at the outset.

While almost any topic will work, I am going to focus on topics from my clinical work, research, and teaching at Chapman University: family dynamics, parenting, weight loss, pain, therapy, and conflict. If you choose to join me in this blog, and hopefully respond back and forth with me, we will all come to learn more about the ways that each of these topics is nonlinear, dynamic, and systemic.

Okay - so the first thing to deal with is, "What the heck is a "nonlinear dynamical system?" I typically start by defining each term separately. "Nonlinear" means disproportional change. This means that some small change can lead to a large outcome, some large change can have almost no effect at all, sudden abrupt shifts that seem to come out of nowhere, or complex changes over time, at the extreme high levels of "chaos." In traditional, linear research, the focus is rigidly focused upon proportional change: a little bit of effort leads to a little change, a lot leads to a lot, and so on. Linear relationships in psychological events are rare. And the ones that are out there tend to be so obvious that researchers end up doing lots of work just to "prove" common sense. Any psychology major has experienced reading journal articles full of jargon and statistics and boring writing just to end up saying: "Duh! I could have told you that!"

This is one of the main reasons why most research is so boring - even to other researchers! Because most researchers are simply looking at research where the light is best, when all of the fun and meaningful stuff is happening off in the shadows where things are complex and nonlinear.

Some common examples of disproportional change include: a) when you show affection to your boyfriend and he does not respond, b) when you try to go on a diet and you end up gaining weight; c) when your boss does the smallest thing that drives you completely nuts, or d) when you lose your husband of 20 years and have to move back into the home of your emotionally abusive mother and you are okay, but three weeks later when your cat dies you begin to seriously consider suicide. Think of almost any change that happens in your life and you will find that these changes are nonlinear, small input, big output; big input, no output, extreme rigidity, full blown chaos, and everything else in between.

Artificial things have strait lines: buildings, bridges, roads, and parks. Nature's products are irregular, complex, and nonlinear: in the branching of trees, neurons, bronchial tubes, and interpersonal relationships; in the jagged outlines of clouds, coastlines, and our self-concepts; and in the turbulent flows of water through a rapid, convection cells in the atmosphere, and information exchange during small group discussions. Indeed, the fingerprint of Mother Nature is complex and self-similar across different size frames: her finger-print is fractal.

The second term, "dynamical," is easier to define; it simply means change over time. Of course it is obvious that our lives unfold over time, and in psychological events it is true what they say: "Timing is everything." Yet, again, as crazy as it sounds researchers in psychology very rarely look at how things change over time. Still, all the interesting things depend on timing. You know not to try to talk finances with your husband while he is watching the final game of the NBA playoffs, right? You know that it is hard to start a weight-loss plan right before thanksgiving, right? And you know better than to reprimand your teenager when she has a friend over at your house. Nonlinear dynamical systems theory aims at understanding these specific moments in time, understanding how our lives' momentums are sometimes the most important forces to recon with, far more important than the power of our wills, or any particular effort we may make.

Finally, "systems" refers to a focus on the inter-relationships among multiple factors in our day to day lives. As the saying goes, "the whole is greater than the sum of its parts." Nowhere is this truer than in psychology. Nonlinear dynamical systems research in psychology acknowledges and embraces the fact that the most useful models of our lives will almost always involve the interaction of many moving parts, which together create a new whole. Consciousness is probably the best example of a complex, emergent, system. Any single neuron is just a cell, firing or not firing. Just like ants in a colony, a single neuron is pretty dumb, it is not you, it can't read this blog; neurons are pretty useless in fact. But when you put 100,000,000 of them together, and interlink them with about 10,000 connections each, you create a conscious human mind - capable of imagining the infinite. Right now, picture a purple and yellow polka dotted space bear bathing in a vat of Jello. You can do that right? And if you can imagine that, you can imagine anything. No one has ever imagined that before, and each of you will imagine this space bear a little differently, right? A single neuron can't do that, but a whole bunch of them together can.

Above the level of biology, in the realm of individual psychology, thousands of different traits, quirks, beliefs and habits coalesce around values to make you, "you." And at the social scale, we form relationships with others. We form intimate bonds, we lead, and we follow. We are limited by our relationships; you can't just do whatever you want whenever you want. I have young children - I know this! But of course we also become a part of something larger: a family, a community, and so on. Each of us is not as dumb as a neuron, but still the comparison applies between groups of neurons and groups of people. Systems research focuses on relationships among numerous parts; we put things together to understand the emergence of wholes, whereas most science tears things apart. Nonlinear dynamical systems theory takes a completely different view on the relationship between parts and wholes from traditional science dating back to the time of Newton. And just as Newton was a revolutionary in his conception of the universe as a single whole, united under the common laws of motion and gravity, nonlinear dynamical systems theory is revolutionary as well in its ability to unite physics, biology, chemistry and even psychology under common principles of emergent order, from parts to wholes to new parts and still larger wholes. This approach to science is leading us toward greater integrity in our views of the natural world, toward universal principles of complexity and order.

If you would like to read more about nonlinear dynamics in psychology, the Society for Chaos Theory in Psychology and Life Sciences (SCTPLS) has an excellent web site (thanks also to Clint Sprott for the "fractal of the day") with useful links and tutorials on various topics. There are many beautiful fractals to look at there too. And if you've read this far, congratulations! Week by week we are going to have a fun, interesting, and hopefully useful journey. It is going to be my pleasure and honor to serve as your guide along the way. Please share you thoughts and reactions with me as we deepen our understanding of psychology as it impacts us day to day, together.

 

Comments

This sounds like it will be

This sounds like it will be a truly interesting, fun blog. Chaos theory has always fascinated me and, as you said, it relates to everything: economics to fashion, exposure effects to group think, religion to regional slang, etc.

Should be interesting.

Thanks.


Thanks Bob

It sounds like you have a strong grasp on the ubiquity (I love that word :) of nonlinear dynamics. I've wondered about fashion trends myself, but don't have a clear model in mind for how they evolve. I bet someone has done it. Anyway, thanks again for responding Bob, and please do stay in touch. I'd love to hear about any ideas that emerge about these topics or others as the blog continues here.

-Dave


You've intrigued me

This is a very sociable way of discussing non-linear dynamic systems. Once the thought spread through my mind I wondered at the possibilities being produced by researchers. The momentum of our lives is amazing, and the thought never occurred to me in such a way. As a researcher of non-linear dynamic systems, do you find it difficult to find the moments you are looking for in order to understand the timing of certain situations?

I will be checking back to learn more, this is very interesting.

J. Gomez


Thanks Gomez

Hope its okay to call you "Gomez," you can call me Pincus (friends do)...

Anyway - very glad you are intrigued. We'll try to keep it that way. I agree, the momentum thing is amazing, and almost always left out of research. One interesting point of fact, in side by side tests of nonlinear and linear models, nonlinear models on average account for twice the variance - this means the models fit the data about twice as well. Steve Guastello did this comparative analysis in his last book - "Managing Emergent Phenomena." My read on this has always been that the main reason for the better fit is that nonlinear models include momentum. They also include curves, and so on, which helps too.

Your question about timing is very interesting. My best answer right now would be "yes" it is hard to capture timing effects in research, even nonlinear research. What we tend to do in general is try to sample as much as a system's behavior as possible, and then we can see sensitive states or regions in which a system is relatively stable versus unstable, or succeptible to small influences. Speaking of Guastello - he has done a lot of research using "Catastrophe theory" which is a good general example of this. In a recent study he published with one of his former students, Kelly Smirz (in the journal Nonlinear Dynamics Psychology and Life Sciences), they found that they could predict patterns of bing-drinking in college students using the interaction of attitudes toward drinking and peer pressure. In terms of timing and sensitivity, what they found was that under high social pressure, you get 2 stable regions of binge drinking - basically partiers and abstainers. The students who do the occasional "beer bong" (moderate users) dissapear. So you are looking across drinkers to figure this out, but what this suggests is that a drinker who is moderate in attitudes toward drinking will have a strong timing effect if they walk into a situation with heavy social influence, even if that influence is against drinking. This person may look back at college as the start of his or her alcohol problem, even though paradoxically he or she entered an anti-drinking college situation with a moderate attitude toward drinking. This person just needs to stumble into the "Animal House" during orientation week and momentum will take it from there!

I can't think of a research situation that captures that exact moment for a single individual. We still build our research understanding out of many observations in nonlinear research. We just allow the outcome observations to be curvy, branchy, or to have different levels of chaos, instead of fitting onto strait lines. I have considered doing a study of relationship process where I could give a person feedback through bug in the ear (i.e., these people don't like what you are saying) and then seeing what happens to the group dynamics - the fractal (branching structure) would most likely lose lots of branches and get quite rigid (and uncomfortable). This would be a way to experimentally look at a single moment's influence. But it is fun to speculate about the butterfly effect (i.e., sensitive dependence) in our day to day lives - if I had gotten better grades I wouldn't have gone to this college, and I wouldn't have met Josh, and I wouldn't have tried Sushi, and I wouldn't have taken Kristen out for sushi, and she wouldn't have fallen for me, and we wouldn't have gotten married, and my kids wouldn't be here...So my kids should be grateful that I slacked in high-school. This would be hard to model, but fun to try...

Okay Gomez - I've gone on too long here. Hope I didn't scare you off.

-Dave


Interesting!

Pincus is fine with me...

Thank you for touching back so quickly, and with such a response! I am dumbstruck by the research conclusions of comparison between linear and non-linear models. How can this be that the scientific community does not fully embrace non-linear models? I would not ask you to speak on the behalf of the community but rather enlighten me on the implications of this research.

Your examples are interesting! I am currently in college for psychology, and it amazes me that patterns/ events such as binge drinking can be analyzed to predict behavior. Unfortunately I was lost to the "strong timing effect" of the person in the experiment. The "bug int he ear" study you mentioned seems similar to the last straw in a failing relationship. Am I on the right track here?

Have you ever heard of the term "nexting"? I came across it recently in "Stumbing on Happiness", written by psychologist Daniel Gilbert on the human condition. He describes nexting as the process when your brain predicts any next move, encounter, or word you may experience. In essence, we are nexting all the time. My question now is if our brain is constantly experiencing what we feel is our subjective future, are we stuck on our own non-linear ride through life? It seems to be that we are hardly aware of this momentum we have built up, yet daily we ride it out in our minds with the illusory preface of control. Any thoughts?

Thanks again for this highly interesting blog. Until next time...

J. Gomez


Hey Gomez, There's a lot in

Hey Gomez,

There's a lot in this reply-reply as well. I'll respond briefly, and then try to address the issue of control (at least that) in this week's post, which I am about to write. Qustion - 'how is it that the scientific community does not fully embrace non-linear models?' response - science as a whole does a decent job. nonlinear models are pretty common nowadays in physics, math, biology, chemistry, environmental science and so on. Psyc, more than other sciences, lags behind. Some reasons are likely: low math interest and poorer training for psychologists, and especially for non-psychologist therapists; psychology generally lagging behind other sciences in its inovations (but we do have many inovations, and they did get about a 100 to 200 year head start on us); the messiness of our data, which makes it hard to analyze; the short nature of our ability to measure change over time in psyc phenomena; and the fact that we are constantly battling to justify ourselves as a science, from challenges within psyc (i.e., constructivists who don't believe in the merits of the scientific method) and from outside of the field (pseudoscientists and some pop-psyc people). There are lots of other resons, but that's enough for now, yes? I think the main reson is that there is a learning curve to understanding nonlinear models, and because they are not routinely taught in classes (undergrad or grad, especially stats and research methods classes), few psychologists are motivated to take the time and effort (and risk to temporarily lowering their publication productivity while they learn) to learn the nonlinear approaches.

Your example of the last straw in a failing relationship? - yes. This is a good example of what I was talking about. This would be referred to as a 'bifurcation.' A sudden shift with very small input. Like when you are flipping a light-switch. Back in my dating days, I can recall many times when I experienced this last straw - which I figure you have too. The worst is when this happens just after love-making (trying to stay clean here), or right after you notice that the other person has become more commited. All of a sudden it's like - "get me outa here!" right? That's a good bifurcation example. A related example there would be hysteresis, this is when you have 2 thresholds, like a double light switch - one for 'on' and one for 'off.' Example - it may take a long buildup to get into the relationship, before you are sure, and then once you are sure, you jump right in - again like a lightswitch. Maybe after the first "I love you" is said. And then, when things go bad, you have to drift much further out of love before you break things off. Hysteresis can help one to understand other dysfunctional relationship processes - like when someone is being battered by a dating partner. It is NOT that they don't leave because of some personal fault. Rather, the longer it takes to get into the relationship, deeper the threshold in, paradoxically the deeper the threshold out will be. Cognitive dissonance models help explain this, but the dynamics underlying the situation help to explain WHY the brain seeks consistency, and WHY our relationships resist transition, particularly when they are dysfunctional.

Last question - "nexting" - haven't heard of it, no. But interesting, yes. I especially like your comment on control. I'll try to touch on all of this more or less in the blog coming up.

Thanks again Gomez - as a college teacher, it's especially fun to have some psyc students here.

-Dave


I can feel that this is

I can feel that this is going to be something I look forward every week. I'm interested to know more about how this theory actually can explain better than any psychological research has done on certain matter. I hope it will be beneficial for the readers too.

Thank you...


Thanks Taufik

Hi will try to hit on what the traditional models can do and how the nonlinear ones improve on those. This is a key consideration.

-Dave


Cool Taufik. I'll try to

Cool Taufik. I'll try to cover the crossover stuff as we go - areas where traditional psyc theory has been advanced by adding NDS theory. This fall we'll be having a book come out (just finished edits today) called: Chaos and Complexity in Psychology: Theory of Nonlinear Dynamical Systems, by Cambridge U press. (Shameless promotion I know - but 100%of proceeds are going to SCTPLS, so...). This book is going to be the best source for this - with each chapter author taking existing theory in each area of psyc (from neurons to organizations) and presenting the move from traditional research to the latest in NDS.

Glad to have you here too.

-Dave


fantastic job!

Just a note to let you know that I really enjoyed reading your well-written and friendly post and I'm looking forward to read more about nonlinear dynamical systems theory in your blog. A friend of mine once told me about chaos theory but it just looked kind of frightening to me at that time. I think I like to get to know more about it now ;)


Chaos can be scary

Whether it is the math, the word "Chaos" or the geeky-excitement that we tend to get when we talk about chaos theory, all of it can be a little scary, yes. So we'll keep it friendly, leave the math out (or in parentheses that can be ignored), and we'll try not write too many super-long-winded responses like the one to our friend Gomez up above.

Thanks again to all of you who responded on this first day of the first post. I am very surprised by this positive response - excited and grateful too.

-Dave


Great blog!

I really enjoyed this blog! It was much different than the usual "how to tell if your pet is depressed" type of articles that are the norm in Psychology Today. Since I am a therapist by trade, I was wondering if any researchers have specifically applied nonlinear dynamical systems theory to psychotherapy outcomes (since we live in the age of 'best practices').

I'll be reading this blog on a regular basis!


nonlinear dynamics and therapy outcome

Hey Aaron,

Great to have a therapist on board too. Answer - yes, work has been done here. But there is lots more to do. I'll try to weave this issue into today's post - which will start out being about the Joker, from Batman, so it will be a fun weave to try to make. Off the top of my head, the best research in therapy outcomes has been done by Wolfgang Tschacher, a psychiatrist from University of Bern, Adele Hayes from U of Delaware, Tony Tang at Northwestern University. I'd include myself, but I've only done more basic research this far, and each of these folks has actually looked at nonlinear patterns in actual therapy cases over time. Nutshell descriptions of their primary contributions thus far - Tschacher has found that greater coherence (less entropy) in self-report measures of therapy process between client and therapist predicts better outcomes. Essentially, he has come up with a novel way of studying the self-organization of shared mindset - the therapeutic alliance - that develops between client and therapist, which is so important for positive outcomes. Hayes has found evidence that clients will often 'fall apart' or disintegrate, with symptoms getting worse, more eratic shifts in mindset and mood, less coherence in behavior, etc. just before they make sudden gains in treatment. This suggests a sort of - route through chaos and on to a higher level of self-organiztion as people make adaptations within therapy. And finally, Tang has looked a lot more at 'Sudden Gains' in treatment. Which appear rather common, both in CBT and in psychodynamic approaches. Linear research, based on dose-response curves at best, and simple pre-post averages in treatment responses, tend to miss sudden gains and the like, which hides potentially interesting nonlinear mechanisms that underlie positive responses to treatment, regardless of the particular treatment you're using. There are many more, like Terry Marks-Tarlow, for example, who has a new book out from Routledge called: Psyche's Veil... This is more germain to contemporary analysis, not tx outcomes really. But she is a great writer and extremely knowledgable about analytic therapy and NDS. So I'd recommend her book to any therapist.

Thanks again,

-Dave

Thanks again,

-Dave


Thank You

Thank you for posting this blog; it was very enjoyable and refreshing to read! I want to become a clinical psychologist and also want to do a lot of research so this kind of stuff is right up my alley. I'm not exactly sure what specific kind of stuff I want to research but I suppose I have a decent amount of time by only going to be a sophomore in college. I may end up researching nonlinear dynamical systems! I look forward to reading more!


Your welcome Facc. I first

Your welcome Facc. I first got into this 'stuff' in late highschool and college too. Good time. Open mind and all.

-Dave


chaos

"Many of you will have heard of the concepts of: "Chaos Theory" "The Butterfly Effect" or maybe even "Emergence" "Fractals" "Complexity" or "Catastrophe" theories."
---Your article caught my eye because my boyfriend has an attachment to leading a life that consists of this theory. It's unfortunately something I'm attracted to myself but can't function for long lengths of time. I like things to be in order and make sense eventually. It makes me feel sane. I kind of thought you would dive into into the topic a little more in the sense of people and chaos. I would love to read elaborations of the subject. I'm the type that is looking for harmony in a relationship with a really happy outcome. Where my boyfriend is the type to look at a relationship like the Greek Tycoon; the whole catastrophe.
~suzanne


Add comment

The content of this field is kept private and will not be shown publicly.
six plus equals ten
Solve this math question and enter the solution with digits. E.g. for "two plus four = ?" enter "6".

Blogger  

Find a Therapist
Choose the best match from
thousands of profiles.